Google Q3 Earning Results- Market Brief

Google Q3 Earning Results- Market Brief
Alphabet Q3 2026 BriefingResults for July–September 2026Call: 28 Oct 2026Sources: earnings call, slides, Form 10-Q

Executive summary

Q3 2026 was Alphabet's fastest growth quarter in years. Revenue rose 25% to $127.6B, putting Alphabet at a half-trillion-dollar annual run rate. Google Cloud more than doubled. The cost of the AI build-out also became much more visible.

  • Growth. Revenue was $127.6B (+25% reported and in constant currency), the 13th straight quarter of double-digit growth. Operating income was $40.6B (+30%) and operating margin was 31.8%, up from 30.5%.
  • Cloud is now the engine. Google Cloud revenue was $30.7B (+103%) and operating income $11.1B (more than 3x), with margin rising from 23.7% to 36.2%. Cloud backlog stands at $560.8B, and total Alphabet backlog is $567.7B.
  • TPUs are now sold as systems. TPU system sales were a "meaningful contributor" to Cloud revenue. About 100 customers use TPUs, including Anthropic and Apple. Google is building inventory ahead of deliveries: inventory rose from $2.4B to $13.3B this year. The main revenue ramp is expected in 2027.
  • Search held up, but growth slowed. Search & other revenue was $63.35B (+12%), and query growth was the highest in five years. Growth slowed from Q2 because of FX, a tougher retail market in APAC, the end of the FIFA World Cup boost, and AI Mode, which still monetizes less than traditional Search. Ads in AI Mode are now launching outside the U.S.
  • New models. Gemini 4 Argon launched about two weeks before the call. Gemini 4 Carbon was announced on the call day and ranks #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index with a score of 59. Genie 4 is Google's newest world model. The Gemini app has 1B+ monthly users, and Google's own models process about 32B tokens per minute.
  • Profit fell even though revenue grew. Net income fell 24% to $26.5B and diluted EPS fell 26% to $2.12. The main cause was an $8.2B other-income loss, mostly an unrealized loss on Alphabet's SpaceX stake.
  • Free cash flow turned negative. Capex was $51.4B (+114%). Free cash flow was −$9.1B and trailing-12-month FCF was $19.7B (−73%). 2026 capex guidance of $195–205B is unchanged, and capex will rise "significantly" in 2027.
  • Funding the build-out. Total assets passed $1 trillion. Long-term debt rose to $125.1B. In 2026 Alphabet has raised about $81B in bonds, plus $20.5B in common stock, $10B from Berkshire Hathaway, $19B in convertible preferred stock and $12.4B through its at-the-market program. It bought back no shares. Purchase commitments total $924.4B.
  • For telecom operators: TPUs placed in customer data centers and with third-party providers, Crux AI's compute-as-a-service model, and Google's pressure on energy and sites all create openings for operators. So does AI-driven customer care (Deutsche Telekom, AT&T and Telstra all feature this quarter). The risk is that Google becomes the AI layer that sits between operators and their customers. See Section 14.
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Q3 2026 at a glance

$127.6B
Revenue
+25% Y/Y; about $500B annual run rate
Slides p.5–6
$40.6B
Operating income
+30%; margin 31.8%
Slides p.5–6
$30.7B
Google Cloud revenue
+103%; margin 36.2%
Slides p.8
$63.35B
Search & other
+12%; fastest query growth in 5 years
Slides p.4, p.7
$567.7B
Revenue backlog
$560.8B of it in Cloud
10-Q Note 2
$2.12
Diluted EPS
−26%; net income $26.5B
Slides p.5
$51.4B
Capex
+114%; 2026 guide $195–205B
Slides p.10; call
−$9.1B
Free cash flow
TTM FCF $19.7B (−73%)
Slides p.11–12
1B+
Gemini app MAUs
Fastest-growing product in Google's history
Slides p.4
~32B
Tokens per minute
Across Google's own models; +40% Q/Q, 4x+ Y/Y
Slides p.4; call
150M
YouTube Music & Premium
Subscribers, including trials
Slides p.4
$1.003T
Total assets
Up from $595.3B at end-2025
10-Q balance sheet
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Consolidated financials

CFO Anat Ashkenazi said Q3 was the 13th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth. Revenue was $127.6B, up 25% both as reported and in constant currency, after +16% in Q3 2025. Growth came mainly from Google Cloud (+$15.6B) and Google Services (+$9.3B).

Revenue and operating income, Q3 2025 vs Q3 2026 ($B)
Q3 2025Q3 2026
$102.3B
$127.6B
Revenue+25% Y/Y
$31.2B
$40.6B
Operating income+30% Y/Y

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slides 5–6. Operating margin 30.5% → 31.8%.

Costs and expenses

  • Total cost of revenues was $51.4B (+24%), holding at 40% of revenue.
    • TAC was $16.4B (+10%). The TAC rate edged down from 20.1% to 20.0% as revenue shifted from Network to Search.
    • Other cost of revenues was $35.1B (+32%). The increase came from TPU-system hardware and inventory costs, depreciation, content acquisition (largely YouTube) and technical-infrastructure operations.
  • Operating expenses were $35.6B (+20%).
    • R&D: $20.6B (+36%; 16% of revenue). Compensation rose $3.5B, mainly from AI talent, and depreciation rose $802M.
    • Sales & marketing: $8.8B (+22%). Advertising and promotion rose $722M, including investment in Gemini, and compensation rose $715M.
    • G&A: $6.1B (−17%). Legal and other costs were $2.1B lower because Q3 2025 included a $3.5B EC fine accrual. Q3 2026 includes its own legal charges, including $1.0B for EU Digital Markets Act fines.
Where the money went: costs and expenses ($B)
TAC +10%Other cost of revenues +32%R&D +36%Sales & marketing +22%G&A −17%
Q3 2025Total $71.1B
$14.9B$26.5B$15.2B$7.2B$7.4B
Q3 2026Total $87.0B
$16.4B$35.1B$20.6B$8.8B$6.1B

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slides 5 and 7.

Below the operating line: SpaceX drives the profit decline

Other income and expense swung from a $12.8B gain to an $8.2B loss. The main item was a $12.4B unrealized loss on marketable equity securities, "largely from SpaceX," after its share price fell. Alphabet holds $75.2B of SpaceX shares, which carry short-term restrictions on sale. A $3.0B unrealized gain on non-marketable securities, mostly from one private company, partly offset the loss. Interest expense rose to $967M from $143M as debt increased, net of $405M of capitalized interest. Interest income was $1.8B.

From operating income to net income, Q3 2026 ($B)
Income from operations
$40.6B
Other income (expense), netSpaceX mark-down
−$8.2B
Income before taxes−26%
$32.4B
Provision for income taxesETR 18.2%
−$5.9B
Net income−24%
$26.5B
Net income to common holdersafter $298M preferred dividends
$26.2B

Negative items are shown as red bars. Diluted EPS was $2.12, versus $2.87 a year earlier (−26%).

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, consolidated statements of income and Note 7.

  • The effective tax rate fell to 18.2% from 20.5%, because of lower pre-tax income from the equity losses, a larger foreign-derived deduction and fewer non-deductible fines.
  • Net income was $26.5B (−24%). Net income available to common stockholders was $26.2B (−25%) after $298M of dividends on the new preferred stock.
  • Diluted EPS was $2.12 (−26%) and basic EPS was $2.14.
  • Stock-based compensation was $8.7B in the quarter, up from $6.4B. Unrecognized compensation cost is $61.8B, to be recognized over about 2.8 years.
View the full Q3 income statement table
$ millionsQ3 2025Q3 2026Y/Y
Revenues102,346127,57725%
Cost of revenues41,36951,41924%
  of which TAC14,87616,36610%
  of which other cost of revenues26,49335,05332%
Research & development15,15120,64036%
Sales & marketing7,2058,80422%
General & administrative7,3936,138(17%)
Total costs & expenses71,11887,00122%
Income from operations31,22840,57630%
Other income (expense), net12,759(8,221)NM
Income before income taxes43,98732,355(26%)
Provision for income taxes9,0085,887(35%)
Net income34,97926,468(24%)
Preferred stock dividends0298N/A
Net income available to common stockholders34,97926,170(25%)
Diluted EPS$2.87$2.12(26%)

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides, slide 5; Form 10-Q.

View the nine-month (January–September) data table
$ millions9M 20259M 2026Change
Revenues289,007357,269+24%
Google Services revenue246,859280,479+14%
Google Cloud revenue41,04175,505+84%
Income from operations93,105121,042+30%
Google Cloud operating income8,59726,5333.1x
Other income (expense), net26,604127,478+$100.9B
Net income97,715201,239+106%
Diluted EPS$7.99$16.33+104%
Operating cash flow112,311127,149+13%
Capital expenditures63,596131,953+107%
Depreciation of property & equipment15,09621,955+45%
Effective tax rate18.4%19.0%+0.6 pt

Source: Form 10-Q. Percentage changes are NextGComm calculations. The nine-month other income figure reflects earlier gains on a private company and on SpaceX before its IPO.

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Segment performance

Revenue by business line ($B)
Q3 2025Q3 2026
Google Search & other+12%
$56.6B
$63.4B
Google Cloud+103%
$15.2B
$30.7B
Subscriptions, platforms & devices+11%
$12.9B
$14.3B
YouTube ads+9%
$10.3B
$11.2B
Google Network+1%
$7.4B
$7.5B
Other Bets+8%
$344M
$372M

Hedging gains of $194M (vs. a $207M loss a year earlier) are not allocated to segments.

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, Note 2; Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slides 6–7. Other Bets growth is a NextGComm calculation.

Google Services: $96.3B revenue (+11%), operating income $39.2B (+17%)

  • Total advertising was $82.0B (+11%), with growth in all major verticals. FX was a slight headwind Y/Y and a larger one sequentially.
  • Search & other was $63.35B (+12%). Retail contributed most, followed by finance. The 10-Q attributes growth to higher query volume, advertiser spending, and better ad formats and delivery.
  • YouTube ads were $11.2B (+9%). Brand advertising was the largest contributor, followed by direct response. The living room was notably strong.
  • Google Network was $7.5B (+1%). AdMob grew while AdSense declined.
  • Subscriptions, platforms & devices were $14.3B (+11%), driven by YouTube subscriptions (Music & Premium), Google One AI plans and higher Pixel sales.
  • Operating margin rose to 40.7% from 38.5%, helped by lower legal costs and partly offset by higher TAC.
Ad monetization metrics, Q3 2026 change Y/Y
Search paid clicks
+8%
Search cost-per-click
+4%
Network impressions
-14%
Network cost-per-impression
+14%

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, MD&A (monetization metrics). Nine-month: paid clicks +11%, CPC +4%, impressions −11%, cost-per-impression +11%.

Google Cloud: record growth

Cloud revenue was $30.7B (+103%). Growth was driven by Google Cloud Platform (GCP), across AI infrastructure, AI solutions and core GCP. GCP made up the vast majority of revenue. TPU system sales were a meaningful contributor, and growth excluding TPU systems was "again very strong." Operating income was $11.1B, more than 3x the prior year, and margin rose 12.5 points to 36.2%. Higher inventory costs tied to TPU systems and higher infrastructure usage costs partly offset the gain. Details are in Section 6.

Other Bets and Alphabet-level activities

  • Other Bets: revenue was $372M and the operating loss was $2.0B (vs. $1.4B), driven by Waymo's expansion and higher compensation. GFiber's results stay in Other Bets until its pending divestiture closes.
  • Alphabet-level activities: the operating loss was $7.7B (vs. $4.5B), mainly from shared AI research and development.
Operating income (loss) by segment ($B)
Q3 2025Q3 2026Q3 2026 loss
Google Servicesmargin 40.7%
$33.5B
$39.2B
Google Cloudmargin 36.2%
$3.6B
$11.1B
Other Betsloss
−$1.4B
−$2.0B
Alphabet-level activitiesshared AI R&D
−$4.5B
−$7.7B

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, Note 15.

Revenue by geography, Q3 2026 ($B and share)
Q3 2025Q3 2026
United States (53%)+39%
$48.8B
$67.7B
EMEA (26%)+9%
$29.9B
$32.7B
APAC (16%)+12%
$17.8B
$19.9B
Other Americas (5%)+17%
$6.1B
$7.1B

The U.S. share rose from 48% to 53% of revenue, in line with Cloud and TPU demand there.

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, Note 2. Growth rates are NextGComm calculations from reported figures.

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Search product

  • Sundar Pichai said Search brings AI to more people than any other product. As in the mobile shift a decade ago, Google is putting user experience first and monetization second.
  • Google is building one seamless experience across AI Overviews, AI Mode and traditional Search.
  • Queries are longer, more personal and more multimodal. AI Mode queries are about 3x longer than traditional searches, and 1 in 5 AI Mode searches globally uses voice, images or documents. There are more than 50 billion visual searches per month.
  • Overall query growth, including commercial queries, is the highest in five years.
  • The focus is on getting things done: booking reservations, filling in forms, scheduling appointments and making purchases.
  • Agentic features were built first in Gemini Agent for Enterprise, where the bar for security and governance is highest. They come next to Search and to the Gemini app's billion users, and later to Chrome, Android and Workspace. Agents become "a unifying layer" across products.

Why Search growth slowed from Q2 to Q3

1. FX

The single largest driver of the slowdown.

Philipp Schindler, Q&A
2. Retail (APAC)

Some APAC advertisers were hurt when the EU ended its de minimis customs exemption.

Philipp Schindler, Q&A
3. Media & entertainment

Returned to normal after a strong Q2 boosted by the FIFA World Cup, which had more matches and ad budgets in June than in July.

Philipp Schindler, Q&A
4. AI Mode mix

Strong AI Mode query growth weighed on revenue because AI Mode still monetizes at a lower rate.

Philipp Schindler, Q&A
5. Tougher comparison

Q3 began lapping the late-2025 Search acceleration, which cost about 3 points of growth. Anat Ashkenazi expects "a couple of points" in Q4.

Anat Ashkenazi, Q&A

Ads: three areas where Gemini is deployed

1. Ads quality

  • Gemini improves how well Google decodes user intent and matches relevant ads.
  • This quarter brought the biggest Product Listing Ads update in a decade. Satisfaction rose 19% and dissatisfaction fell by more than half.
  • AI models improve click and conversion prediction and ad personalization. Personalization modeling delivered 18% incremental advertiser value and an 8% increase in user sentiment on Discover ads in 2026.
  • AI drives the majority of ads product launches.

2. Advertiser tools

  • Adoption of AI Max and Performance Max remains strong. Advertisers can now test different budgets and ROI targets across several Search campaigns in one AI Max A/B test.
  • AI creative tools are now built into AI Max. In Q3, Gemini helped advertisers generate more than 1.5B campaign assets, up more than 7x.
  • Telstra used AI Max to capture long-form and multilingual queries. Conversions rose 52% and cost per order fell 36%.

3. AI user experiences

  • Many AI Mode queries are upper-funnel, capturing new high-value commercial intent, and most are incremental to traditional Search.
  • Users find ads on these surfaces relevant. Click-through rates on sponsored and organic product listings in AI Mode are already similar.
  • Announced on call Ads in AI Mode are expanding to international markets, and multi-turn ads in AI Mode are launching in the U.S. This takes AI-surface monetization global for the first time.
  • The approach is to put user experience first, then scale ad formats that have proven advertiser ROI.

Agentic commerce

  • The Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP) is being adopted quickly by retailers. It enables direct checkout across Google for hundreds of thousands of brands, including Chewy, Nike and Tapestry. UCP is combined with the Agent Payments Protocol.
  • Google is working on two tracks: agents that act for the consumer, and tools that give shoppers confidence and control. Universal Cart, launched this quarter, belongs to the second track. Retailers keep the customer relationship, capture the sale and avoid abandoned carts.
  • Schindler said agentic commerce is early but "clearly additive." He expects ad models to work in agentic flows because there is rarely one perfect option. For example, an agent might show an insurance product alongside an alternative with a higher premium, lower deductible and a special discount. Subscriptions and other payment models are also possible.
  • Schindler said AI can automate the "grunt work" of shopping while keeping the discovery people enjoy, because shoppers weigh brand loyalty and service as well as price. Pichai added that Gemini app users already run complex, multi-step agentic queries, and that the Gemini 4 series handles them well.

Strategic partnerships and commercial priorities

  • American Express: an expanded partnership to modernize contact centers and work together on agentic commerce across Search and Wallet.
  • Unity: an expanded multi-year Cloud deal that uses Google's full AI stack for Unity's next-generation game engine.
  • Priorities: grow advertiser ROI, make AI monetization more efficient, and scale ecosystem partnerships "for the next era of discovery."
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Google Cloud & TPU systems

Google Cloud: revenue and operating income ($B)
Q3 2025Q3 2026
$15.2B
$30.7B
Revenue+103% Y/Y
$3.6B
$11.1B
Operating income3.1x · margin 36.2%

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slide 8. Prior-year growth was +34%; prior-year margin 23.7%.

Thomas Kurian (CEO, Google Cloud) credited an integrated AI portfolio of chips, models, data, security and agent platforms designed to work together. The business is diversified across product lines, industries and customers.

2,600+
Customers using 100B+ tokens
Past 12 months; ~75 used 10T+ tokens
Call
~90%
Fortune 100 on Gemini Enterprise
Q3 2025 users more than quadrupled spend
Call
100M+
Knowledge-work seats sold
Across all AI services
Call
~100
TPU customers
"Over 100 significant" in Q&A
Call
18
Cloud product lines above $1B
Annual revenue each
Call

Source: Q3 2026 earnings call (Thomas Kurian). These are management-stated metrics and are not in the 10-Q.

Gemini Enterprise and customer wins

  • Nearly 90% of the Fortune 100 use Gemini Enterprise. Customers that used it in Q3 2025 more than quadrupled their spend with Google year-over-year.
  • Over 100M seats have been sold for knowledge work across all AI services.
  • Gemini Enterprise now includes Gemini Agent, which researches and answers questions, writes and runs code, and automates processes through one agent, one API and one prompt window. It has security and cost controls and offers the widest choice of frontier models.
  • BNP Paribas is rolling out Gemini Enterprise to 65,000+ employees. Tata Steel built 300+ specialized agents in nine months, cutting customer service times by 50%. Ulta Beauty's AI Shopping Assistant converts 3x better than traditional browsing.
  • Google Cloud has generated "tens of billions of dollars" of AI revenue year-to-date (CFO).

Data and analytics

  • Gemini is speeding up Google's database, analytics and security products. Knowledge Catalog helps Gemini find the right sources, improving accuracy and lowering token cost. The Lakehouse gives zero-copy access across systems.
  • BigQuery queries run more than 40% faster, and query processing costs are down more than 50%.
  • Deutsche Telekom built a unified data lakehouse over 40+ legacy on-premise systems using BigQuery, Cloud Storage and Knowledge Catalog. Etsy migrated 3 PB, and its critical data joins now run up to 60% faster with BigQuery and Iceberg.

Security

  • Gemini Flash Cyber models automate vulnerability discovery in 20 programming languages and patch 2.6x more reliably than other models. Argon and Carbon should improve this further.
  • The platform covers threat intelligence, response prioritization, automated scanning, code remediation and monitoring. Gemini in Google Threat Intelligence analyzes millions of external events daily with 98% accuracy.
  • More than 95% of Wiz customers are adopting its AI features. Security customers include Banorte, Jack Henry and AT&T. Alphabet closed the $29.5B Wiz acquisition on 11 March 2026, adding $22.7B of goodwill to Cloud.

AI infrastructure and TPU systems

  • The infrastructure portfolio includes TPU systems, Axion CPUs, the latest NVIDIA GPUs and Agent Compute Engine, which is built for AI agents.
  • TPU 8t delivers up to 2.7x better training performance, and TPU 8i 80% better inference price-performance, compared with the previous generation.
  • TorchTPU, built with Meta, lets developers train, serve and deploy PyTorch models on TPUs using existing tools.
  • About 100 customers use TPUs today (in Q&A, Kurian said "over 100 significant" customers). They include Anthropic (directly and through Broadcom), Apple (pre-training foundation models), Physical Intelligence, Citadel Securities, Jump Trading, Caltech, Cassava and Cirrascale.
  • New New partnerships will deliver TPU systems through Oracle and Crux AI, with more in the works.
Purpose-built hardware

Custom TPUs and host CPUs; HBM and other memory; optical circuit switches, data-center network and ultra-low-latency ICI.

Slide 9
System components

Tray: four chips on one liquid-cooled board. Rack: 16 TPU machines with battery backup. Pod: 144 racks plus 3 optical switch racks.

Slide 9
Open software and support

JAX, PyTorch and the XLA compiler; vLLM and SGLang serving engines; post-sales support and warranty.

Slide 9

How TPU system sales work financially

  1. A signed TPU contract first enters the backlog.
  2. Google buys components and builds inventory ahead of revenue, so cash goes out and inventory rises. All TPU inventory is tied to committed contracts.
  3. When systems are delivered and billed, revenue is recognized and cash comes in. Ashkenazi called this "a different cash-flow cycle," not traditional capex.
  • Some system sales are already in revenue. Sales scale in Q4, with a meaningful revenue ramp in 2027.
  • Google gives no product-level financials or margins. Kurian said the focus is on improving margins as the business scales, helped by TPU price-performance, scarce accelerated compute and economies of scale.
  • Per the 10-Q, a TPU system sale includes hardware, software, installation, support and extended warranty. Some contracts include repurchase options at pre-set prices, with maximum potential payments of $6.6B. Google does not believe customers have an economic incentive to exercise them.
  • Distribution runs through three channels: Google Cloud, customer data centers (for data that can't move to cloud) and other providers. This widens the market without Google having to build every facility in advance.
  • An analyst asked what share of a ~$35B-per-gigawatt TPU system becomes revenue. That figure is the analyst's framing; Google did not confirm it.

Crux AI: the Blackstone joint venture

In May 2026 Google agreed with Blackstone to form a U.S. joint venture offering data-center capacity, operations, networking, hardware and software as a single compute-as-a-service product. It was formally announced as Crux AI in Q3. Blackstone has committed up to $5.0B of capital. Google has committed up to $10.0B of data-center and energy infrastructure backstops, holds a minority stake (accounted for under the equity method) and signed a multi-year commercial agreement with the venture, which is a related party. That agreement adds $16.8B to backlog.

Revenue backlog, Sep 30, 2026 ($B)
Total Alphabet backlog>55% within 24 months
$567.7B
of which Google Cloud
$560.8B
of which Crux AI agreementrelated party
$16.8B

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, Note 2. Since Q1 2026, backlog also includes contracts of one year or less.

Margin watch. Third-party "bridging" compute capacity came online only at the very end of Q3, so it barely affected margins this quarter. It ramps in Q4, and management expects near-term pressure on Cloud margins.
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Gemini 4, models & agents

Model releases, July to October 2026

Slide 3 shows ten launches in sequence between July and October 2026:

  1. July 2026 →Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash Cyber · Gemini 3.5 Transcribe
  2. ThenGemini 3.7 Flash · Omni 1.1 Flash
  3. ThenGemini 3.8 Flash and 3.8 Flash Cyber · Lyria 3.5
  4. October 2026Gemini 4 Argon (about two weeks before the call) · Gemini 3.8 Live & Extended Thinking
  5. → Late October 2026Gemini 4 Carbon (announced on the call day) · Nano Banana 2.1

Source: earnings slide 3 (release order). Dates for Argon and Carbon are from the call. Separately, Google announced the Genie 4 world model the day before the call.

Gemini 4 Argon

In its first week, developer usage ramped 3.5x faster than Gemini 3, even with capacity limits. It is strong in finance, legal, cybersecurity and science, and is used for legacy code, scientific research, robotics and deep domain reasoning. Inside Google, the Chrome, Ads and Search teams shipped 35% more code with 30% fewer errors.

Call: Sundar Pichai
Gemini 4 Carbon

Google's strongest frontier model, with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and long-horizon capability. It is #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index with a score of 59, and beats Argon in almost every domain. It goes first to trusted cyber defenders, is being tested by the U.S. government, and distilled versions are being built for billion-user scale.

Call: Sundar Pichai
Genie 4

Google's most advanced world model yet. It simulates safe, realistic, interactive worlds with native audio in real time, and is a building block for training robots and agents.

Call: Sundar Pichai
  • Google's own models process about 32B tokens per minute, including Gemini through direct API use. That is up 40% Q/Q and more than 4x Y/Y.
  • The Gemini app has passed 1B monthly active users and is the fastest-growing product in Google's history. It recently added a Task tab for agentic queries.
  • More models are coming, including more efficient versions for speed and cost. Isomorphic is using Argon for drug-design research.

AI is speeding up Google's own engineering

  • Pichai said a step change began internally with Gemini 3.8 Flash, which is better at long-horizon tasks and agentic coding. Deploying Argon internally, about four weeks before the call, was "one of the most meaningful productivity levers" in software engineering. Google tracks high-quality code check-ins and how often they happen.
  • Carbon is now deployed internally and is a meaningful step up. As it rolls out to all Googlers with more compute, Pichai expects a "golden year" of productivity in 2027. AI is also speeding up Google's own training and launch pace, and he expects that to keep accelerating over the next 12 months.

What agents need, and the trust question

  • Pichai said a capable model is not enough. Agents also need a robust harness, a secure runtime, 24/7 cloud availability and an ecosystem of skills and connectors, all of which GCP provides.
  • Agents launched in enterprise first and come to consumers later in 2026, starting with the Gemini app. He compared adoption to coding tools: at a 70% success rate an agent seems not to work, until it crosses a threshold and takes off.
  • Users rank safety and trust very highly. Google points to decades of trust at billions-of-users scale, end-to-end security, extensive testing and real-time monitoring. Users will "vote with their feet."
  • The 10-Q adds new risk-factor language on AI agents. Errors can compound across multi-step workflows, AI is speeding up how fast vulnerabilities are found and exploited, and AI-enabled cyberattacks are rising.
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YouTube & subscriptions

  • YouTube is the #1 U.S. streaming platform by watch time and leads in the living room. The living room was more than one-third of YouTube ads revenue in Q3.
  • At Made on YouTube in September, Google announced 30+ products and features, including Custom Feeds (a tailored home feed for a chosen topic) and Shorts Series (Shorts organized into seasons and episodes, with sequential playback).
  • Creators upload more than 20M videos every day. New generative AI tools arrived in YouTube Studio, along with a conversational editing assistant in Shorts and YouTube Create.
  • Demand Gen adoption by small and medium advertisers continues. Wayfair's Demand Gen campaigns delivered 2.3x higher ROAS than traditional video reach campaigns.
  • YouTube Creator Partnerships connects brands with 3M+ creators. Lexus's campaign with creators Colin and Samir lifted brand consideration by 11%.
  • YouTube Shopping has 1.3M+ enrolled channels. New Amazon is joining, so U.S. creators can tag Amazon products in videos, Shorts and livestreams.
  • Subscriptions are growing faster than ads. YouTube Music and Premium have 150M subscribers including trials, and Premium Lite gives viewers another option. Google One is the fastest-growing subscription product, driven by AI plans.
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Waymo, Other Bets & long-term bets

Waymo

300M+ fully autonomous miles, operating in 15 major U.S. cities. It recently opened public service in San Antonio, San Diego and Tampa, and plans to expand to Canada, Germany, Singapore and Spain. New In October 2026 Waymo took out a $5.0B senior secured term loan at Term SOFR + 5.25%, maturing October 2032. It is secured by Waymo assets and not guaranteed by Alphabet.

Call; 10-Q Note 6
Isomorphic

Using Gemini 4 Argon to support drug-design research.

Call
Quantum

Google demonstrated "magic state cultivation" for the first time.

Call
Project Suncatcher

Google has launched TPUs into space.

Call
GFiber (pending divestiture)

Alphabet will contribute GFiber to a new entity in exchange for $1.5B in cash, a $2.0B note and a 49.99% equity stake. GFiber will then be deconsolidated. Closing is expected in late 2026. $7.1B of GFiber property and equipment is classified as held for sale.

10-Q Note 8
Intersect

Alphabet closed the $5.9B acquisition of this renewable-energy developer on 10 March 2026 to speed up data-center capacity and energy development. It is consolidated as a variable-interest entity.

10-Q Note 8

Other Bets revenue was $372M and the operating loss was $2.0B, reflecting Waymo's expansion and other bets.

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Capex, cash flow & balance sheet

Capex

Capex was $51.4B (+114%), mostly technical infrastructure for AI. About 65% went to servers and networking (useful life about 6 years) and 35% to data centers (7–40 years). Nine-month capex was $132.0B, compared with $63.6B a year earlier. 2026 guidance of $195–205B is unchanged, and 2027 capex will "increase significantly," with details on the Q4 call.

Capital expenditures by quarter ($B)
$24.0B
Q3'25+83%
$27.9B
Q4'25+95%
$35.7B
Q1'26+107%
$44.9B
Q2'26+100%
$51.4B
Q3'26+114%

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slide 10. Green figures show Y/Y growth. 2026 guidance: $195–205B (call).

Cash flow

  • Quarterly operating cash flow was $42.3B (−13%). The decline came from the TPU inventory build and the $5.2B payment in July for the 2018 EC Android fine plus interest, which was due after the European Court of Justice rejected Google's appeal.
  • Free cash flow was −$9.1B, the second negative quarter in a row (Q2: −$5.9B). Trailing-12-month FCF was $19.7B, down from $73.6B a year earlier.
  • Trailing-12-month operating cash flow was $179.6B, per the slides. The call said "$179.1B"; see the data notes.
Operating cash flow, capex and free cash flow ($B)
Operating cash flowFree cash flowNegative FCF
$48.4B
$24.5B
Q3'25
$52.4B
$24.6B
Q4'25
$45.8B
$10.1B
Q1'26
$39.1B
−$5.9B
Q2'26
$42.3B
−$9.1B
Q3'26

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slides 11–12 (free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure: operating cash flow less capex).

Trailing-12-month free cash flow ($B)
$73.6B
Q3'25
$73.3B
Q4'25
$64.4B
Q1'26
$53.3B
Q2'26
$19.7B
Q3'26−73% Y/Y

Source: Alphabet Q3 2026 earnings slides (28 Oct 2026), slide 12. TTM operating cash flow $179.6B; TTM capex $159.8B.

Balance sheet

  • Cash and marketable securities were $265.1B. That includes $90.4B of marketable equity securities, of which $75.2B is SpaceX stock that carries short-term restrictions on sale.
  • Non-marketable securities were $135.2B, of which $128.2B sits under the measurement alternative and "primarily" consists of one private company.
  • Long-term debt was $125.1B, with a fair value of about $114.9B. There is no commercial paper outstanding (the program allows up to $25B) and nothing drawn on $10B of revolving credit facilities.
  • Inventory was $13.3B, up from $2.4B, mostly TPU-system hardware. Property and equipment was $372.8B, including $145.3B not yet in service. Goodwill was $58.1B after the Wiz and Intersect deals.
  • Deferred revenue was $12.6B and accrued legal fines and settlements were $13.8B. There were 204,757 employees at 30 September 2026.
Balance sheet: Dec 31, 2025 vs Sep 30, 2026 ($B)
Dec 31, 2025Sep 30, 2026
Total assetscrossed $1T
$595.3B
$1,003.3B
Property & equipment, net+51%
$246.6B
$372.8B
Cash & marketable securities+109%
$126.8B
$265.1B
Non-marketable securities+97%
$68.7B
$135.2B
Long-term debt+169%
$46.5B
$125.1B
Inventory (mostly TPU hardware)5.5x
$2.4B
$13.3B

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, consolidated balance sheets. Percentage changes are NextGComm calculations.

Funding the build-out: debt and equity

  • Bonds: Alphabet has issued $45.0B of U.S. dollar notes and $35.8B of foreign-currency notes (sterling, Swiss franc, euro, Canadian dollar, yen and Australian dollar) in 2026. Q3 issuance included $23.8B of fixed-rate and $1.3B of floating-rate U.S. dollar notes (weighted-average coupon 5.55%, 15-year average maturity) and A$5.6B of Australian dollar notes (5.82%, 8 years). Q3 net proceeds were $28.7B. The longest tranche is a 6.125% sterling note due 2126.
  • Common stock: on 4 June, a public offering of 29M Class A shares (at $355.20) and 29M Class C shares (at $351.80) raised $20.5B net. A concurrent $10.0B private placement of 14M Class A and 14M Class C shares went to a Berkshire Hathaway affiliate.
  • Mandatory convertible preferred: on 5 June, Alphabet issued 385M depositary shares (GOOGM and GOOGN) representing 19M shares of 6.25% preferred stock, for $19.0B net. They convert by about 15 May 2029. A $1.0B capped call, with caps of $532.67 (Class A) and $527.80 (Class C), reduces dilution.
  • At-the-market program: up to $40B, mainly to cover tax obligations on employee equity. Alphabet has sold 12M Class A and 24M Class C shares for $12.4B, leaving $27.6B available.
  • Buybacks: none in 2026. $69.5B remains authorized.
  • Dividends: the Board declared $0.22 per share on Class A, B and C stock, payable 14 December 2026 to holders of record on 7 December. It also declared $15.63 per preferred share (about $0.78 per depositary share), payable 15 November. Q3 cash dividends were $2.7B on common stock and $234M on preferred.
Capital raised in 2026 to fund AI infrastructure ($B)
US dollar senior notes (face)
$45.0B
Foreign-currency senior notes (face)GBP, CHF, EUR, CAD, JPY, AUD
$35.8B
Public offering of common stock (net)June 4
$20.5B
6.25% mandatory convertible preferred (net)June 5
$19.0B
At-the-market program (net)$27.6B left
$12.4B
Berkshire Hathaway private placementJune 4
$10.0B

Share repurchases in 2026: none. $69.5B of the April 2025 $70B authorization remains.

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, Notes 6 and 11. Waymo's separate $5.0B term loan (October 2026) is excluded.

Commitments, backstops and guarantees

Alphabet disclosed $924.4B of material purchase commitments. $802.1B of that is multi-year (infrastructure, inventory, take-or-pay energy and content licenses), mostly paid through 2031, and $213.4B is due within 12 months. There are also $130.5B of leases that have not yet commenced, for data centers and energy, starting between 2026 and 2031 with terms of 1–26 years. Equity funding commitments total $21.9B, and the call grouped these two items as "$152B" of pre-commencement leases and other obligations. Management stressed that these are maximum contractual amounts and that variable pricing and volume flexibility could lower actual spend.

Off-balance-sheet commitments, Sep 30, 2026 ($B)
Material purchase commitments$213.4B due in 12 months
$924.4B
Leases not yet commencedstart 2026–2031
$130.5B
Data-center backstops (contingent)$10B with Crux AI
$75.7B
Financial guarantees (contingent)
$22.8B
Equity funding commitments
$21.9B

Purchase commitments are stated at maximum contractual pricing and volume. Management says flexible pricing and volumes could lower actual spend.

Source: Alphabet Form 10-Q, quarter ended 30 Sep 2026, MD&A liquidity section and Notes 4, 5 and 10.

  • Of the $75.7B of data-center backstops, $48.0B is signed with third-party data-center providers and accounted for as credit derivatives. The remaining $27.7B is an obligation to arrange future backstops, $10.0B of it with Crux AI.
  • The $22.8B of guarantees includes $16.2B to help partners buy long-lead energy equipment (running to 2049) and $6.6B of TPU repurchase guarantees.
  • Funding commitments to unconsolidated variable-interest entities rose to $31.9B from $1.1B. That includes $20.0B of future capital funding to one private company, contingent on milestones through 2030.
  • A short-term lease signed in June 2026 has about $6.0B of non-cancelable commitment remaining.

ROIC framing

Ashkenazi expects ROIC to stay "meaningfully above" the cost of capital through this cycle, with strong operating cash flow. Infrastructure spending and the TPU inventory build will keep pressure on free cash flow. Pichai said each business sets long-range compute plans under a disciplined ROIC framework.

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EU: Android (2018)

The European Court of Justice denied Google's appeal in July 2026, making the decision final. Google paid $5.2B, covering the €4.1B fine plus interest, which had already been accrued.

10-Q Note 10
EU: Digital Markets Act New

In July 2026 the EC fined Google €430M (Google Play) and €460M (Search). Google recognized a $1.0B charge in Q3 and appealed both decisions in October 2026.

10-Q Note 10
U.S.: Ad tech (DOJ) New

The court's September 2026 remedies decision rejected structural divestiture and ordered behavioral remedies on interoperability, data access and auction conduct. Google plans to appeal the April 2025 liability ruling and may appeal parts of the remedies. The Texas state AG trial will follow.

10-Q Note 10
EU: Ad tech

The EC imposed a €3.0B self-preferencing fine in September 2025, accrued at $3.5B in Q3 2025 and covered by bank guarantees. Google's appeal is pending. A UK Statement of Objections is also pending.

10-Q Note 10
U.S.: Search (DOJ)

The final judgment of December 2025 restricts how Google distributes its services and requires search-data sharing and syndication to some competitors. Google, the DOJ and the states have all appealed, and the appeals are pending.

10-Q Note 10
Google Play

The court approved Google's settlement with state AGs in August 2026. In the Epic case, the parties withdrew their joint motion to modify the remedies in July 2026, and Google is complying with the October 2024 remedies decision.

10-Q Note 10
PriceRunner (Sweden)

In July 2026 the Stockholm court awarded about $2.1B plus interest over Google's shopping search results. Google recognized the amount in Q2 2026 and has appealed.

10-Q Note 10
EU: AdSense for Search

The €1.5B fine was annulled in September 2024. The EC's appeal to the European Court of Justice is pending.

10-Q Note 10
Other matters

Privacy investigations (location data, ads), IP and ITC cases, and Russia-related civil judgments, which Google does not expect to be material. Gross unrecognized tax benefits are $12.5B.

10-Q Notes 10, 14
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Outlook & guidance (company statements only)

FX

At current spot rates, FX will be a slightly larger headwind to Q4 revenue than in Q3, mainly in Search and YouTube ads.

Q4 2026
Google Services

Lapping the Search acceleration that began in Q3 2025 will pressure Q4 growth by about "a couple of points."

Q4 2026
Google Cloud

TPU system sales keep scaling in Q4, followed by a meaningful revenue ramp in 2027. Third-party capacity creates near-term margin headwinds.

Q4 2026 → 2027
Capex

2026 guidance is $195–205B, unchanged. Capex will rise significantly in 2027, with details on the Q4 call.

2026 / 2027
P&L pressure

Depreciation and data-center operating costs such as energy will keep weighing on the P&L.

Ongoing
Returns

ROIC is expected to stay meaningfully above the cost of capital, with strong operating cash flow. Free cash flow will stay under pressure.

Through the cycle
Agents

Consumer agentic features arrive in the Gemini app later in 2026. Pichai expects much progress later this year and in 2027.

Late 2026 → 2027
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Analyst Q&A highlights

Doug Anmuth (JP Morgan): a "golden age of productivity," and why Search slowed while queries surged

Pichai: A step change began with Gemini 3.8 Flash. Deploying Argon internally was a big inflection, starting only about four weeks ago. Carbon is a meaningful step up, and he expects a "golden year" of productivity.

Schindler: Search grew 12% to $63B. FX was the largest drag, followed by APAC retail (the EU de minimis change), the World Cup comparison and lower AI Mode monetization. He is confident ads are scaling in AI Overviews and AI Mode, internationally and in multi-turn formats.

Brian Nowak (Morgan Stanley): what's needed to ship agents to everyone, and the Search comparison

Pichai: Distilled versions of Carbon will serve a billion users efficiently. Agents need a harness, a secure runtime and connectors. They launch in enterprise first and come to the Gemini app later in 2026.

Ashkenazi: FX will be somewhat of a Q4 headwind. Lapping last year's acceleration cost about 3 points in Q3 and should cost "a couple of points" in Q4.

Eric Sheridan (Goldman Sachs): how compute is allocated, including external TPU sales

Pichai: Allocation is long-range planning under a disciplined ROIC framework. The full-stack approach is highly leveraged, and demand signals are very robust.

Kurian: 100+ significant TPU customers start in Google Cloud. The approach covers the right silicon (8t and 8i), optimized software including PyTorch, and broader distribution through customer data centers, Oracle and the Crux AI joint venture.

Ross Sandler (Barclays): TPU revenue per gigawatt and capex intensity

Ashkenazi: Google gives no product-level financials. A TPU system includes hardware, compute, storage, networking and software. The cycle runs from backlog to inventory to delivery and cash, which is "not traditional capex." More system revenue comes through 2027.

Justin Post (Bank of America): is agentic Search a headwind, and is TPU a good business?

Schindler: Agentic is additive, and ad models fit because there is rarely one perfect option. Pichai: Agents are "a new frontier for Search," built on assets like the Knowledge Graph. Kurian: Google does not disclose margins by product. TPU inventory is procured only after contracts are signed. Placing TPUs on-premise and with third parties widens the market.

Mark Shmulik (Bernstein): early agent use, and Cloud growth excluding TPUs

Pichai: The Task tab is live, and users have a high bar. Adoption takes off once success rates cross a threshold. Economies of scale matter for TPUs.

Kurian: Cloud growth excluding TPUs was very strong. It has three drivers: Gemini revenue, Gemini pulling through compute, storage, databases and security, and faster new-customer adoption. Growth is managed carefully against capacity.

Michael Nathanson (MoffettNathanson): working with competitors, and agent safety

Pichai: Platforms (browser, OS, Cloud, TPU) must work for everyone, and Google works with Apple on models. Selling TPUs tests them against the hardest workloads. Trust and security will be a big differentiator, and users will "vote with their feet."

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Sources

  1. Alphabet Inc., Q3 2026 earnings conference call. Speakers: Sundar Pichai (CEO), Philipp Schindler (Chief Business Officer), Thomas Kurian (CEO, Google Cloud), Anat Ashkenazi (CFO); host Jim Friedland (Head of Investor Relations).
  2. Alphabet Inc., Q3 2026 earnings slides, 28 October 2026 (abc.xyz/investor).
  3. Alphabet Inc., Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026.

Forward-looking statements are the company's and carry risks. See Alphabet's Forms 10-K and 10-Q. Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure. NextGComm Advisory content is analysis, not investment advice.

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